Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Happy Groundhog Day!


That’s right people, its Groundhog Day — Again!  To help celebrate this day of groundhog festivities, I'm recommending that you all watch Groundhog Day featuring Bill Murray. How can you NOT watch Groundhog Day on Groundhog Day?  Plus, Bill Murray is freakin' awesome in this film....cause he's Bill freakin' Murray!

According to folklore, if it is cloudy when a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day, it will leave the burrow, signifying that winter will soon end. If it is sunny, the groundhog will supposedly see its shadow and retreat back into its burrow, and winter will continue for six more weeks.  So...what did Punxsutawney Phil predict today???  Well, according to reports, he did NOT see his shadow, so that means an early spring!

How accurate is Phil?  Well, According to the Groundhog Club's records, the various incarnations of Punxsutawney Phil have predicted 99 forecasts of more winter and 15 early springs. (There are nine years without any records, and even the Punxsutawney Area Chamber of Commerce, which keeps track of these things, doesn't know what happened to Phil during those years.) Data from the Stormfax Almanac's data shows that Phil's six-week prognostications have been correct 39 percent of the time...Ok..not the best record.


The groundhog's powers of prognostication are slightly better when he doesn't see his shadow, though. When Phil predicted a short winter, he was much more likely to be right.  Out of the 15 times that he didn't see his shadow and predicted an early spring, he got it right seven times - that's a 47 percent accuracy rate....but lets face it...he's a GROUNDHOG...not a meteorologist!




2 comments:

Debra She Who Seeks said...

So there are 9 "missing years" in Punxsutawney Phil's records, eh? That must have been one hell of a bender!

SUZY8-TRACK said...

Yeah, you are probably right about that. From what I hear, its not a pretty sight to go up to Gobbler's Nob on Groundhog Day...its basically a bunch of drunk guys whooping it up!